000 03931nam a2200409Ii 4500
001 9780429452987
008 180727t20182019flu b ob 001 0 eng d
020 _a9780429452987
_q(e-book : PDF)
035 _a(OCoLC)1042329301
040 _aFlBoTFG
_cFlBoTFG
_erda
050 4 _aHB849.53
_b.B79 2018
072 7 _aMAT
_x029000
_2bisacsh
072 7 _aMED
_x028000
_2bisacsh
072 7 _aJMB
_2bicscc
082 0 4 _a304.601/519287
_223
100 1 _aBryant, John,
_d1969-
_eauthor.
245 1 0 _aBayesian demographic estimation and forecasting /
_cby John Bryant and Junni L. Zhang.
250 _aFirst edition.
264 1 _aBoca Raton, FL :
_bChapman and Hall/CRC, an imprint of Taylor and Francis,
_c[2018].
264 4 _c©2019.
300 _a1 online resource (292 pages).
336 _atext
_2rdacontent
337 _acomputer
_2rdamedia
338 _aonline resource
_2rdacarrier
490 1 _aChapman & Halll/CRC statistics in the social and behavioral sciences
505 0 0 _tchapter 1 Introduction /
_rJohn Bryant --
_tpart I Demographic Foundations --
_tchapter 2 Demographic Foundations /
_rJohn Bryant --
_tchapter 3 Demographic Individuals /
_rJohn Bryant --
_tchapter 4 Demographic Arrays /
_rJohn Bryant --
_tchapter 5 Demographic Accounts /
_rJohn Bryant --
_tchapter 6 Demographic Data /
_rJohn Bryant --
_tpart II Bayesian Foundations --
_tchapter 7 Bayesian Foundations /
_rJohn Bryant --
_tchapter 8 Bayesian Model Specification /
_rJohn Bryant --
_tchapter 9 Bayesian Inference and Model Checking /
_rJohn Bryant --
_tpart III Inferring Demographic Arrays from Reliable Data --
_tchapter 10 Inferring Demographic Arrays from Reliable Data /
_rJohn Bryant --
_tchapter 11 Infant Mortality in Sweden /
_rJohn Bryant --
_tchapter 12 Life Expectancy in Portugal /
_rJohn Bryant --
_tchapter 13 Health Expenditure in the Netherlands /
_rJohn Bryant --
_tpart IV Inferring Demographic Arrays from Unreliable Data --
_tchapter 14 Inferring Demographic Arrays from Unreliable Data /
_rJohn Bryant --
_tchapter 15 Internal Migration in Iceland /
_rJohn Bryant --
_tchapter 16 Fertility in Cambodia /
_rJohn Bryant --
_tpart V Inferring Demographic Accounts --
_tchapter 17 Inferring Demographic Accounts /
_rJohn Bryant --
_tchapter 18 Population in New Zealand /
_rJohn Bryant --
_tchapter 19 Population in china /
_rJohn Bryant --
_tchapter 20 Conclusion /
_rJohn Bryant.
520 3 _aBayesian Demographic Estimation and Forecasting presents three statistical frameworks for modern demographic estimation and forecasting. The frameworks draw on recent advances in statistical methodology to provide new tools for tackling challenges such as disaggregation, measurement error, missing data, and combining multiple data sources. The methods apply to single demographic series, or to entire demographic systems. The methods unify estimation and forecasting, and yield detailed measures of uncertainty.The book assumes minimal knowledge of statistics, and no previous knowledge of demography. The authors have developed a set of R packages implementing the methods. Data and code for all applications in the book are available on www.bdef-book.com.This book will be welcome for the scientific community of forecasters...as it presents a new approach which has already given important results and which, in my opinion, will increase its importance in the future. ~Daniel Courgeau, Institut national d'études démographiques.
650 7 _aMEDICAL / Epidemiology.
_2bisacsh
650 0 _aDemography
_xStatistical methods.
650 0 _aPopulation forecasting
_xStatistical methods.
700 1 _aZhang, Junning,
_d1982-
_eauthor.
710 2 _aTaylor and Francis.
776 0 8 _iPrint version:
_z9781498762625
_w(DLC) 2018016571
830 0 _aChapman & Halll/CRC statistics in the social and behavioral sciences.
856 4 0 _uhttps://www.taylorfrancis.com/books/9780429452987
_zClick here to view.
942 _2lcc
_cEBK
999 _c16629
_d16629